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Blood Cancer Journal

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Blood Cancer Journal's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Molecular signature of pediatric B-ALL determines outcomes post CD19 CAR-T cell therapy

Oszer, A.; Pastorczak, A.; Urbanska, Z.; Miarka, K.; Marschollek, P.; Richert-Przygonska, M.; Mielcarek-Siedziuk, M.; Baggott, C.; Schultz, L.; Moon, J.; Aftandilian, C.; Styczynski, J.; Kalwak, K.; Mlynarski, W.; Davis, K. L.

2026-04-13 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350681 medRxiv
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Chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy targeting CD19 has transformed outcomes for children with relapsed or refractory (R/R) B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL), yet the influence of molecular subtype on outcomes remains unclear. We evaluated the impact of cytogenetic and molecular signatures on complete response (CR), overall survival (OS), and leukemia-free survival (LFS) after CD19 CAR-T therapy in eighty-six pediatric patients with R/R B-ALL treated with tisagenlecleucel. CR was assessed 30 days after infusion. Cytogenetic data were available for 84 patients and molecular profiling for 62. Survival analyses included 72 patients who received CD19 CAR-T as the sole cellular therapy. Seventy-seven patients achieved CR (89.5%). Pre-infusion bone marrow blasts of [&ge;]20% were associated with lower CR rates (53.8% vs 95.9%, p<0.0001) and significantly reduced OS and LFS (both p<0.0001). Among molecular markers, RAS mutations correlated with inferior OS (p=0.0222) and LFS (0.0402). In multivariate analysis, bone marrow blasts >20% and RAS mutations independently predicted inferior OS. Post CAR-T, CD19 negative relapses showed almost twice higher prevalence of RAS mutations (66% vs 37.5%). These findings highlight RAS mutations as a key molecular predictor of outcome after CD19 CAR-T therapy and suggest emergence of unique risk stratification for patients receiving CD19-targeting therapy.

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Clinico-pathologic characteristics, patterns of treatment and outcome of newly diagnosed Waldenstroms Macroglobulinemia- a single center real world retrospective analysis

Gupta, V.; Podder, D.; Saha, S.; Shah, B.; Ghosh, S.; Kumar, J.; Jacoby, A. P.; Nag, A.; Chattopadhyay, D.; Javed, R.; Rath, A.; Chakraborty, S.; Demde, R.; Vinarkar, S.; Parihar, M.; Zameer, L.; Mishra, D.; Chandy, M.; Nair, R.

2026-04-14 hematology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350611 medRxiv
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Waldenstrom macroglobulinemia (WM) is a rare indolent neoplasm characterized by presence of more than 10% lymphoid cells in BM that exhibit plasmacytoid or plasma cell differentiation that secretes an IgM monoclonal protein. This is a retrospective analysis of 89 patients of WM that describes the clinical and laboratory characteristics, treatment patterns and outcome of patients of WM. The median age of the entire cophort was 66 years with male predominance (67.4%). Most common presentations were symptoms pertaining to anemia (77.5%) and constitutional symptoms (33.7%). Median bone marrow lymphoplasmacytic cells were 41%. Positivity for MYD88 and CXCR4 mutations were seen in 81.8% and 2.4% cases. BR was the most common regimen used (52.8%). Overall response rates were seen at 87.8%. Median overall survival, progression free survival and time to next treatment is 8.49 years, 2.15 years and 3.88 years. BR regimen was associated with highest event free survival.

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GPR143, a novel immunohistochemical marker for renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/MTOR-TFE alterations

Li, Q.; Singh, A.; Hu, R.; Huang, W.; Shapiro, D. D.; Abel, E. J.; Zong, Y.

2026-04-13 pathology 10.64898/2026.04.06.26350070 medRxiv
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Although several ancillary tests are available in limited laboratories, diagnosis of microphthalmia (MiT)/TFE family translocation renal cell carcinoma (tRCC) could be challenging due to diverse and overlapping tumor morphology and the lack of reliable biomarkers. GPNMB has been recently identified as a diagnostic marker for various renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. However, the sensitivity and specificity of GPNMB immunostain are suboptimal and the result interpretation in ambiguous cases could be difficult. To search additional biomarkers that could improve the screening sensitivity and predict genetic aberrations in FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE pathway in renal tumors, we performed bioinformatic analysis of publicly available cancer databases and found GPR143, a transmembrane protein regulated by MiT transcription factors, was highly expressed in a subset of renal cell carcinomas (RCCs). In two the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) kidney cancer cohorts, RCCs with high levels of GPR143 expression were enriched for renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations. Similar to GPNMB labeling, GPR143 immunostain was positive in the majority of tRCC cases and renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR alterations, suggesting that GPR143 could function as another surrogate marker for FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations in certain renal tumors. Interestingly, despite the concordant GPR143 and GPNMB immunoreactivity in most renal neoplasms with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations, diffuse GPR143 immunostain was observed in some cases with negative or focal GPNMB labeling. Taken together, our results indicate GPR143 could serve as a useful adjunct marker to improve the sensitivity for screening renal tumors with FLCN/TSC/mTOR-TFE alterations.

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Vaccine-induced antibody and T cell responses in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Shapiro, J. R.; Dorogy, A.; Science, M.; Gupta, S.; Alexander, S.; Bolotin, S.; Watts, T. H.

2026-04-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350531 medRxiv
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Children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) are treated with multiagent chemotherapy that causes profound changes to the immune system. There are limited data on how disease and therapy impact antigen-specific immune memory, leading to inconsistent guidelines on best practices for revaccination of this population. Here, to inform vaccine guidance, we investigated whether immunity derived from routine childhood measles and varicella zoster virus (VZV) vaccines is maintained during and after therapy for childhood ALL. We report that antibodies against measles and VZV were significantly reduced in children with ALL (n=45) compared to healthy controls (n=13), particularly in older children in whom a longer time had passed since their most recent vaccine dose. However, the avidity of the measles and VZV-specific antibodies was indistinguishable between groups. Despite changes to the composition of the T cell compartment, both overall and antigen-specific T cell function were preserved in children with ALL. These data provide compelling evidence for revaccination of children following ALL treatment. Intact T cell responses suggest that post-treatment revaccination would be effective.

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Declining Pediatric Representation in NIH Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Funding, 2020-2024

Phillips, V.; Woodwal, P.

2026-04-11 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350420 medRxiv
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BackgroundArtificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are among the fastest-growing domains in NIH research funding, but whether children have shared equitably in this expansion is unknown. We characterized pediatric representation in NIH AI/ML funding from fiscal years (FY) 2020 to 2024. MethodsNIH grant data were obtained from Research Portfolio Online Reporting Tools Expenditures and Results bulk files for FY2020 to FY2024. AI/ML grants were identified using the NIH Research, Condition, and Disease Categorization "Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence" category, and pediatric grants using the "Pediatric" category. Subprojects were excluded. Grants were deduplicated within each fiscal year by core project number for trend analyses and across all years retaining the most recent fiscal year for cross-sectional totals. Disease areas were identified by keyword searches of titles and abstracts. ResultsAcross FY2020 to FY2024, 5,624 unique NIH AI/ML grants totaling $3,371 million were identified. Of these, 836 grants (14.9%) were classified as pediatric, representing $401 million (11.9%) of total NIH AI/ML funding. Although this share was consistent with the historically reported overall NIH pediatric funding baseline of approximately 10% to 12%, it remained substantially below the US pediatric population share of approximately 22%. The pediatric share of NIH AI/ML funding declined from 12.3% in FY2020 to 10.8% in FY2024, despite growth in absolute pediatric funding. Indexed to FY2020, pediatric AI/ML funding grew approximately 2.6-fold compared with 3.0-fold growth in the total portfolio. Across disease areas, unadjusted adult/general-to-pediatric funding ratios ranged from 2.0-fold in mental health to 9.8-fold in cancer. ConclusionsPediatric representation in NIH AI/ML funding remained low and declined over time as the overall portfolio expanded. These findings suggest that growth in NIH AI/ML investment has not been matched by proportional gains for pediatric research.

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Drug response profiling guides precision therapy in relapsed and refractory childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Steffen, F. D.; Lissat, A.; Alten, J.; Kriston, A.; Scheidegger, N.; Eckert, C.; Bodmer, N.; Schori, L.; Schühle, S.; Arpagaus, A.; Gutnik, S.; Manioti, D.; Bruderer, N.; Zeckanovic, A.; Västrik, I.; Nyiri, G.; Kovacs, F.; Thorhauge Als-Nielsen, B. E.; Attarbaschi, A.; Rademacher, A.; Elitzur, S.; Jacoby, E.; De Moerloose, B.; Svenberg, P.; Ancliff, P.; Sramkova, L.; Buldini, B.; Balduzzi, A.; Boer, J. M.; Mielcarek, M.; Ceppi, F.; Ansari, M.; Halter, J.; Schmiegelow, K.; Locatelli, F.; DelBufalo, F.; Stanulla, M.; Kulozik, A. E.; Schrappe, M.; Rohrlich, P.; Cave, H.; Baruchel, A.; von Stack

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350164 medRxiv
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Children with relapsed or refractory acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) require more effective and less toxic therapies. We established a prospective, multicenter Drug Response Profiling (DRP) registry (NCT06550102) integrating functional testing into precision-guided treatment. DRP was performed for 340 patients from 17 European countries with a turn-around time of two-weeks. Image-based drug screening with over 135000 unique perturbations revealed a heterogeneous landscape of ex vivo responses to 88 drugs on average. Ranking drug responses across the patient cohort defined individual drug fingerprints, identifying "DRP twins" by similarity in sensitivity and resistance independent of genetic ALL subtypes. Of 239 high-risk patients with follow-up, DRP-informed interventions were reported for 63 patients (26%). Patients received combination therapies based on venetoclax, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, trametinib, bortezomib or selinexor, resulting in objective clinical responses in 43 cases (68%). Precision-guided treatments allowed bridging to cellular therapies in 42 patients among whom 28 (67%) were still alive with a median follow-up of 21 months after DRP (IQR: 14.7-26.6 months). Top responders to venetoclax, ranked within the first tertile of the cohort, had superior 1-year event-survival compared to venetoclax non-responders (0.57 [95% CI, 0.39-0.85] vs. 0.25 [95% CI, 0.11-0.58]). Collectively, these findings demonstrate the feasibility and clinical relevance of functional profiling within an international network. This scalable framework enables individualized therapy selection for enrolment in adaptive precision trials for high-risk pediatric ALL.

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Ad-verse Effects: Pharmaceutical Advertising Shifts Drug Recommendations by Consumer-Facing AI

Omar, M.; Agbareia, R.; McGreevy, J.; Zebrowski, A.; Ramaswamy, A.; Gorin, M.; Anato, E. M.; Glicksberg, B. S.; Sakhuja, A.; Charney, A.; Klang, E.; Nadkarni, G.

2026-04-16 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350868 medRxiv
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Large language models are increasingly used for clinical guidance while their parent companies introduce advertising. We tested whether pharmaceutical ads embedded in the prompts of 12 models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google shift drug recommendations across 258,660 API calls and four experiments probing distinct epistemic conditions. When two drugs were both guideline appropriate, advertising shifted selection of the advertised drug by +12.7 percentage points (P < 0.001), with some model scenario pairs shifting from 0% to 100%. Google models were the most susceptible (+29.8 pp), followed by OpenAI (+10.9 pp), while Anthropic models showed minimal change (+2.0 pp). When the advertised product lacked evidence or was clinically suboptimal, models resisted. This reveals a structured vulnerability: advertising does not override medical knowledge but fills the space where clinical evidence is underdetermined. An open response sub analysis (2,340 calls across three representative models) confirmed that advertising restructures free-text clinical reasoning: models echoed ad claims at 2.7 times the baseline rate while maintaining high stated confidence and rarely disclosing the ad. Susceptibility was provider dependent (Google: +29.8 pp; OpenAI: +10.9 pp; Anthropic: +2.0 pp). Because this bias operates within clinically correct answers, it is invisible to accuracy based evaluation, identifying a class of AI safety vulnerability that standard testing cannot detect.

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Validation of Immunoscore for Prognostic Stratification in HPV-associated Oropharyngeal Cancer: An International Multicenter Study

Nguyen, D. H.; Majdi, A.; Marliot, F.; Houtart, V.; Kirilovsky, A.; Hijazi, A.; Fredriksen, T.; de Sousa Carvalho, N.; Bach, A.- S.; Gaultier, A.- L.; Fabiano, E.; Kreps, S.; Tartour, E.; Pere, H.; Veyer, D.; Blanchard, P.; Angell, H. K.; Pages, F.; Mirghani, H.; Galon, J.

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350238 medRxiv
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BackgroundTreatment optimization in HPV-associated oropharyngeal cancer (OPSCC) remains challenging, as recent de-escalation trials have shown limited success. Current patient selection strategies based on smoking history and TNM classification are insufficient, highlighting the need for robust, standardized prognostic biomarkers. We report the first validation of the Immunoscore (IS) for prognostic stratification in HPV-associated OPSCC. Patients and methodsWe analyzed 191 HPV-associated (p16+ and HPV DNA/RNA+) OPSCC patients from an international multicenter cohort (2015-2024), comprising a French monocentric retrospective training cohort (N = 48) and three validation cohorts: French monocentric retrospective (N = 48), French multicenter prospective (N = 50), and US multicenter retrospective (N = 45). IS is a standardized digital pathology assay quantifying CD3lJ and CD8lJ densities in tumor cores and invasive margins, with cut-offs defined in the training cohort and validated across cohorts. Associations with disease-free survival (DFS), time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS) were assessed, alongside 3RNA-seq and sequential immunofluorescence profiling of immune composition. ResultsMedian age 65; 80% male; 74% smokers; 66% T1-2; 82% N0-1 (AJCC8th). IS-High patients demonstrated superior 3-year DFS in the training and validation cohorts 1-3 (all log-rank P < 0.05). Multivariable analysis identified IS-Low as the strongest independent risk factor for DFS (HR 9.03; 95% CI: 4.02-20.31; P < 0.001). The model combining IS with clinical factors showed higher predictive accuracy for DFS (C-index 0.82) than clinical variables alone (0.7; P < 0.0001). Similar findings were observed for TTR and OS. IS-High tumors showed markedly higher enrichment of lymphoid and myeloid immune cell populations, contrasting with immune-poor signatures in IS-Low tumors. ConclusionsIS is a robust biomarker that outperforms standard clinical variables in both prognostic and predictive accuracy. The enriched cytotoxic immune infiltrate in IS-High tumors explains favorable outcomes and supports their suitability for treatment de-escalation. Prospective validation is warranted.

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SCOPE: Integrating Organoid Screening and Clinical Variables Through Machine Learning for Cancer Trial Outcome Prediction

Bouteiller, J.; Gryspeert, A.-R.; Caron, J.; Polit, L.; Altay, G.; Cabantous, M.; Pietrzak, R.; Graziosi, F.; Longarini, M.; Schutte, K.; Cartry, J.; Mathieu, J. R.; Bedja, S.; Boileve, A.; Ducreux, M.; Pages, D.-L.; Jaulin, F.; Ronteix, G.

2026-04-11 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350512 medRxiv
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Background: Predicting whether a treatment will demonstrate meaningful clinical benefit before committing to a large-scale trial remains a major unmet need in oncology. Patient-derived organoids (PDOs) recapitulate individual tumor drug sensitivity, but have not been used to forecast population-level trial outcomes. We developed SCOPE (Screening-to-Clinical Outcome Prediction Engine), a platform that integrates PDO drug screening with clinical prognostic modeling to predict arm-level median progression-free survival (mPFS) and objective response rate (ORR) without access to any trial outcome data. Patients and methods: SCOPE was trained on 54 treatment lines from patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC, n=15) and metastatic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (mPDAC, n=39) with matched clinical data and PDO drug screening across 9 compounds. A Clinical Score module captures baseline prognosis; a Drug Screen Score module quantifies treatment-specific organoid sensitivity. To predict trial outcomes, synthetic patient profiles are generated from published eligibility criteria and matched to a biobank of 81 PDO lines. Predictions were externally validated against 32 arms from 23 published trials, treatment ranking was assessed across 8 head-to-head comparisons, and prospective applicability was tested for daraxonrasib (RMC-6236), a novel pan-RAS inhibitor in mPDAC. Results: Predicted mPFS strongly agreed with published outcomes (R2=0.85, MAE=0.82 months; Pearson r=0.92, P<0.001), approaching the empirical concordance between two independently measured clinical endpoints (ORR vs. mPFS, R2=0.87). ORR prediction was similarly robust (R2=0.71, MAE=7.3 percentage points). Integrating organoid and clinical data significantly outperformed either alone (P=0.001). SCOPE correctly identified the superior arm in 7 of 8 head-to-head comparisons (88%, P<0.05). Applied to daraxonrasib prior to phase 3 data availability, the platform predicted superiority over standard chemotherapy in KRAS-mutant mPDAC, consistent with emerging clinical data. Conclusion: By combining functional organoid drug screening with clinical modeling, SCOPE generates calibrated efficacy predictions for both established regimens and novel agents without prior clinical data. This approach could support clinical trial design, treatment arm selection, and go/no-go decisions, offering a new tool to improve the efficiency of gastrointestinal cancer drug development.

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WITHDRAWN: Detection of Measles Virus RNA in Wastewater: Monitoring for Wild-Type and Vaccine-Derived Strains in a National Preparedness Trial

Ahmed, W.; Gebrewold, M.; Verhagen, R.; Koh, M.; Gazeley, J.; Levy, A.; Simpson, S.; Nolan, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350527 medRxiv
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Wastewater surveillance (WWS) is established as a vital tool for monitoring polio and SARS-CoV-2 with potential to improve surveillance for many other infectious diseases. This study evaluated the feasibility of detecting measles virus (MeV) RNA in wastewater as part of a national WS preparedness trial in Brisbane, Australia, from March to June 2025. Composite and passive sampling methods were employed in parallel at three wastewater treatment plants serving populations between 230,000 and 584,000. Nucleic acids were extracted and analyzed using RT-qPCR targeting MeV N and M genes to distinguish wild-type and vaccine strains. MeV RNA were detected in both 24-hour composite and passive samples on May 26 to 27, 2025 from the largest catchment of 584,000 which also included an international airport. No measles cases were reported in this city or region within 4 weeks of the WS detections. These were confirmed as vaccine-derived measles virus (MeVV) strain via specific RT-qPCR assay. Extraction recoveries varied (11.5% to 70.5%), with passive sampling showing higher efficiency. This is the first report of use of passive samples for detection of MeV. These findings are consistent with other studies reporting WWS results of both MeVV genotype A and wild type genotype B and/or D. It demonstrates the potential for sensitive MeV WWS with rapid differentiation of MeVV from wild type MeV shedding, including in airport transport hubs and with different sample types. Use of WWS could strengthen measles surveillance by enabling rapid detection of MeV RNA and supporting outbreak preparedness and response. This requires optimised methods which are specific to or differentiate wild-type MeV from MeVV. Furthermore, the successful detection of MeV using passive sampling in this study highlights its potential for deployment in diverse global contexts which may include non-sewered settings.

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Understanding community knowledge, attitudes and practices related to participation in household transmission investigations during infectious disease outbreaks

Meagher, N.; Hettiarachchi, D.; Hawkins, M. R.; Tavlian, S.; Spirkoska, V.; McVernon, J.; Carville, K. S.; Price, D. J.; Villanueva Cabezas, J. P.; Marcato, A. J.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350464 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe World Health Organization has developed several global template protocols for epidemiological investigations, including for household transmission investigations (HHTIs). These investigations facilitate rapid characterisation of novel or re-emerging respiratory pathogens and support evidence-based public health actions. Beyond technical readiness, community buy-in is central to the feasibility and acceptability of HHTIs. Research is needed to determine the perceived legitimacy among the community to inform local protocol adaptation and development of implementation plans that consider community attitudes and needs. MethodsIn 2025, we conducted a convenience survey of community members living in Victoria, Australia to explore: their understanding of emerging respiratory diseases; their willingness to take part in public health surveillance activities such as HHTIs; the acceptability of clinical and epidemiological data collection and respiratory/blood sample collection as main components of HHTIs, and; participant comfort towards including their companion animals in HHTIs. ResultsWe received 282 survey responses, of which 235 were included in the analysis dataset. Compared to the general Victorian population, our participants included a higher proportion of participants who reported being female, tertiary-educated, of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage, born in Australia and speaking only English at home. Participants indicated overall high levels of comfort and acceptability towards participation in HHTIs, particularly in relation to clinical and epidemiological data collection, with lesser but still high levels of comfort with providing multiple respiratory specimens in a 14-day period. Participants were least comfortable with other specimens such as urine and blood. Involving companion animals in HHTIs was similarly acceptable as human-focused components. ConclusionsDespite our survey population being non-representative of the general Victorian population, our findings provide valuable descriptive insights into the acceptability of HHTIs in Victoria, Australia from which to benchmark future local and international surveys and community engagement activities.

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SARS-CoV-2 Introductions into Lao PDR Revealed by Genomic Surveillance, 2021-2024

Panapruksachat, S.; Troupin, C.; Souksavanh, M.; Keeratipusana, C.; Vongsouvath, M.; Vongphachanh, S.; Vongsouvath, M.; Phommasone, K.; Somlor, S.; Robinson, M. T.; Chookajorn, T.; Kochakarn, T.; Day, N. P.; Mayxay, M.; Letizia, A. G.; Dubot-Peres, A.; Ashley, E. A.; Buchy, P.; Xangsayarath, P.; Batty, E. M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26349480 medRxiv
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We used 2492 whole genome sequences from Laos to investigate the molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 from 2021 through 2024, covering the major waves of COVID-19 disease in Laos including time periods of travel restrictions and after relaxation of travel across international borders. We identify successive waves of COVID-19 caused by shifts in the dominant lineage, beginning with the Alpha variant in April 2021 and continuing through the Delta and Omicron variants. We quantify a shift from a small number of viral introductions responsible for widespread transmission in early waves to a larger number of introductions for each variant after travel restrictions were lifted, and identify potential routes of introduction into the country. Our study underscores the importance of genomic surveillance to public health responses to characterize viral transmission dynamics during pandemics.

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Time to diagnosis among children and adolescents with cancer in Quebec, Canada: a population-based study

Mullen, C.; Barr, R. D.; Strumpf, E.; El-Zein, M.; Franco, E. L.; Malagon, T.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350491 medRxiv
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BackgroundTimely cancer diagnosis in children and adolescents is critical to improving outcomes, yet substantial variation in diagnostic intervals persists across cancer types and care settings. We aimed to quantify time to diagnosis and assess variations by patient, demographic, and system-level factors. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective population-based study of children and adolescents aged 0-19 years diagnosed with one of 12 common cancers between 2010 and 2022 in Quebec, Canada. The diagnostic interval was defined as the time from first cancer-related healthcare encounter to diagnosis. We calculated medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) overall and by cancer type and used multivariable quantile regression to identify factors associated with time to diagnosis at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles. ResultsAmong 2,927 individuals with cancer, diagnostic intervals varied by cancer type and age. Median intervals were longest for carcinomas (100 days; IQR 33-192) and shortest for leukemias (8 days; IQR 3-44). Compared with children living in Montreal, living in regional areas and other large urban centres was associated with longer 50th and 75th percentiles of time to diagnosis for hepatic and central nervous system (CNS) tumours. Diagnostic intervals were shorter in the post-pandemic period (2020-2022) across several cancer sites, with CNS tumours showing reductions across all quantiles. InterpretationDiagnostic timeliness differed by cancer type, age, and rurality, but not by sex, material, or social deprivation. The shorter diagnostic intervals observed in the post-pandemic period suggest that pandemic-related changes in care pathways may have expedited diagnosis for some cancers.

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Wearable-derived physiological features for trans-diagnostic disease comparison and classification in the All of Us longitudinal real-world dataset

Huang, X.; Hsieh, C.; Nguyen, Q.; Renteria, M. E.; Gharahkhani, P.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350352 medRxiv
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Wearable-derived physiological features have been associated with disease risk, but most current studies focus on single conditions, limiting understanding of cross-disease patterns. This study adopts a trans-diagnostic approach to examine whether wearable data capture shared and condition-specific physiological signatures across multiple chronic conditions spanning physical and mental health, and then evaluates the utility of these features for disease classification. A total of 9,301 patients with at least 21 days of consecutive FitBit data from the All of Us Controlled Tier Dataset version 8 were analyzed. Disease subcohorts included cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), major depressive disorder (MDD), anxiety, bipolar disorder, and attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), chosen based on prevalence and relevance. Logistic regression and XGBoost models were fitted for each disease subcohort versus the control cohort. We found that compared to using just baseline demographic and lifestyle features, incorporating wearable-derived features enabled improved classification performance in all subcohorts for both models, except for ADHD where improvement was mainly observed for ROC-AUC in logistic regression model likely due to the smaller sample size in ADHD subcohort. The largest performance gains were observed in MDD (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for Logistic regression, 0.071 for XGBoost; p < 0.001) and anxiety (increase in ROC-AUC of 0.077 for logistic regression, 0.108 for XGBoost; p < 0.001). This study provides one of the first comprehensive transdiagnostic evaluations of wearable-derived features for disease classification, highlighting their potential to enhance risk stratification in the real-world setting as a practical complement to clinical assessments and providing a foundation to explore more fine-grained wearable data. Author summaryWearable devices such as fitness trackers and smartwatches are becoming increasingly popular and affordable, providing continuous measurements of heart rate, physical activity, and sleep. Alongside the growing digitization of health records, this creates new opportunities for large-scale, real-world health studies. In this study, we analyzed wearable-derived physiological patterns across a range of chronic conditions spanning both physical and mental health to better understand how these signals relate to disease risk. We found that incorporating wearable-derived heart rate, activity and sleep features improved disease risk classification across several conditions, with particularly strong gains for major depressive disorder and anxiety. By examining how individual features contributed to model predictions, we also identified meaningful associations between physiological signals and disease risk. For example, both duration and day-to-day variation of deep and rapid eye movement (REM) sleep were associated with increased risk in certain conditions. Our study supports the development of real-time, automated tools to assess disease risk alongside clinical care.

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Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
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Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.

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Five-Domain Accelerometer-Derived Behavioral Exposome and Incident Cancer Risk in UK Biobank

Ni Chan Chin (Chengqin Ni), M.; Berrio, J. A.

2026-04-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350369 medRxiv
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BackgroundAccelerometer-derived behavioral phenotype captures multidimensional aspects of human behavior extending well beyond physical activity, encompassing light exposure, step counts, physical activity patterns, sleep, and circadian rhythms. Whether these five domains constitute a unified behavioral architecture underlying cancer risk and whether circadian organization and light exposure confer incremental predictive value beyond movement volume alone remains to be comprehensively established. MethodsWe conducted an accelerometer-wide association study (AWAS) encompassing the complete accelerometer-derived behavioral exposome across five behavioral domains in UK Biobank participants with valid wrist accelerometry data. Incident solid cancers were designated as the primary endpoint, with prespecified site-specific solid cancers and hematological malignancy as secondary outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models with age as the timescale were used. The minimal covariate set served as the primary reporting tier, followed by sensitivity analyses additionally adjusting for adiposity/metabolic factors, independent activity patterns, shift work history, and accelerometry measurement quality. Nominal statistical significance was defined as two-sided P < 0.05 ResultsAmong 89,080 participants, 6,598 incident solid cancer events were observed over a median follow-up of 8.39 years. In the minimally adjusted model, the pan-solid-tumor association atlas was dominated by signals from activity volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythm. Higher overall acceleration (HR per SD: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.89-0.94) and higher daily step counts (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.95) were independently associated with reduced solid cancer risk, while inactivity fragmentation metrics were consistently linked to higher risk. Notably, circadian rhythms, most prominently cosinor mesor (Midline Estimating Statistic of Rhythm under cosinor model), emerged as leading inverse risk signals, underscoring the independent contribution of circadian behavioral architecture. Site-specific analyses revealed pronounced heterogeneity across tumor sites. Lung cancer exhibited a robust inverse activity-risk gradient, while breast cancer showed reproducible associations with MVPA. Most strikingly, nocturnal light exposure demonstrated a tumor-site-specific association confined to pancreatic cancer, a signal absent across all other sites examined. Associations for uterine cancer were predominantly inactivity-related and substantially attenuated following adjustment for adiposity and metabolic factors. ConclusionsAcross five accelerometer-derived behavioral domains, solid cancers as a whole were most consistently associated with a high-movement, low-fragmentation, and circadian-coherent behavioral profile. While site-specific heterogeneity exists, the broad cancer risk landscape is dominated by movement volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythmicity. Light exposure, although more localized in its contribution, demonstrates a potentially novel and specific association with pancreatic cancer risk. These findings support a five-domain behavioral exposome framework for cancer epidemiology and, importantly, position circadian rhythm integrity and nocturnal light exposure as critically understudied dimensions warranting dedicated mechanistic investigation.

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Dengue risk perception and public preferences for vector control in Italy and France: utility and regret-based choice experiments

Andrei, F.; Tizzoni, M.; Veltri, G. A.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350604 medRxiv
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Background: Dengue is rapidly emerging in parts of Europe. How households value vector control attributes, and whether inferences depend on decision models or message framing, is unclear. Methods: We conducted a split-ballot online experiment among adults in Italy and France, as well as a hotspot subsample from Marche, Italy. National samples included 1,505 respondents in Italy and 1,501 in France; 183 respondents were recruited in Marche. Participants were randomised to a discrete choice experiment (random utility maximisation) or a regret-based choice experiment (random regret minimisation) and to one of three pre-task messages (control, loss aversion, community values). Each respondent completed 12 choice tasks comparing two dengue control programmes and an opt-out. We estimated mixed logit and mixed random-regret models with random parameters and treatment effects. Results: Across frameworks, nearby cases and high mosquito prevalence were the dominant drivers of programme uptake, whereas cost and operational burden were secondary. In pooled analyses, loss-aversion messaging increased the weight on high mosquito prevalence in both models (from 0.483 to 0.547 in the utility model; from 0.478 to 0.557 in the regret model). Cost effects were small nationally but larger in the hotspot subsample. Conclusions: Risk salience dominates preferences for dengue vector control in these European settings. Random utility and random regret models yield consistent rankings of attributes but differ in behavioural interpretation and some secondary effects; messaging effects were modest and context dependent.

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Prevalence and Factors Associated with Family-Based HIV Index Case Testing in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, 2023: A Cross-Sectional Study

Koyra, A. B.; Mohammed, F.; Eshete, T.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350444 medRxiv
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BackgroundFamily-based HIV index case testing identifies family members with unknown HIV status and links them to care. Data are limited in southern Ethiopia. MethodsA facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 377 adults on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, from November 2022 to May 2023. Participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Data were collected via interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with index case family testing. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. ResultsThe proportion of index case family testing for HIV was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.2- 88.6). In multivariable analysis, urban residence (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.16-6.75), duration on ART greater than 12 months (AOR = 13.0; 95% CI: 4.6-36.9), disclosure of HIV status to family members (AOR = 5.6; 95% CI: 1.9-16.5), discussion of HIV status with family members (AOR = 6.6; 95% CI: 1.9-23.2), and being counselled by health professionals to bring families for testing (AOR = 6.3; 95% CI: 2.1-19.0) were significantly associated with index case family testing. ConclusionThe prevalence of family-based HIV index case testing in Wolaita Zone was 84.9%, below the national 95% target. Health professionals should strengthen counselling on ART adherence, status disclosure, family discussion, and active referral to improve testing uptake among family members of people living with HIV.

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Planned egg freezing over 15 years: return to treatment and success rates in Australia and New Zealand

Fitzgerald, O.; Keller, E.; Illingworth, P.; Lieberman, D.; Peate, M.; Kotevski, D.; Paul, R.; Rodino, I.; Parle, A.; Hammarberg, K.; Copp, T.; Chambers, G. M.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350362 medRxiv
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Study questionWhat are the characteristics and treatment outcomes of women who undertook planned egg freezing (PEF) in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023? Summary answerThere has been an average yearly increase in the uptake of PEF of 35%, with most women undergoing a single PEF procedure in their mid-thirties. Given ten years follow-up a little over one in four women return, with nearly half of those using donor sperm and one-third achieving a live birth. What is known alreadyPEF, where women freeze their eggs as a strategy to preserve fertility, has increased dramatically in high income countries in the last decade. Despite the rapid uptake of PEF, there remains limited information to guide women, clinicians and policy makers regarding the characteristics of women undertaking this procedure and treatment outcomes. Study design, size, durationA retrospective population-based cohort study of all women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023, including their subsequent return to thaw their eggs and treatment outcomes. Where women returned to utilise their eggs, all subsequent embryo transfer procedures were linked enabling calculation of live birth rates per woman. Participants/materials, setting, methods20,209 women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023 including 1,657 women who returned to thaw their eggs. Main results and the role of chanceThere has been a huge increase in uptake of PEF, from 55 women in 2009 to 4,919 in 2023. Women who freeze their eggs are typically aged 34-38 years (interquartile range) and nulliparous (98.6%). For women with at least 10 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-13; N=514), 27.9% returned and thawed their frozen eggs (average time to return: 4.9 years). This reduced to 22.1% in those with at least 5 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-2018; N=4,288). Of those who used their frozen eggs, 47% used donor sperm. After at least two years follow up, 33.9% had a live birth, rising over time to 37.8% for eggs thawed between 2019-2021. Limitations, reasons for cautionIn the timeframe 2009-2019 we did not have information on whether egg freezing occurred because of a cancer diagnosis, a cohort we wished to exclude from the study. As a result, for this timeframe we weighted observations by the probability that egg freezing occurred due to cancer, with the prediction model developed on the years 2020-2023. Wider implications of the findingsThis study provides recent and comprehensive data on PEF to guide prospective patients and clinicians and inform policy. The exponential growth in PEF in Australia and New Zealand mirrors trends in other high-income countries, suggesting a doubling time of 2-3 years. Study findings highlight the need for setting realistic expectations about the likelihood of returning to use frozen eggs and live birth rates. Study funding/competing interest(s)2020-2025 MRFF Emerging Priorities and Consumer Driven Research initiative: EPCD000014

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Frequency of bacterial STI testing amongst people accessing sexual health services in England, 2024: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Baldry, G.; Harb, A.-K.; Findlater, L.; Ogaz, D.; Migchelsen, S. J.; Fifer, H.; Saunders, J.; Mohammed, H.; Sinka, K.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349546 medRxiv
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ObjectivesWe determined the frequency of sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing among people accessing sexual health services (SHS) in England. MethodsWe assessed STI testing frequency in face-to-face and online SHSs in England using data from the GUMCAD STI surveillance system. We quantified different combinations of tests (e.g. single chlamydia test or full STI screen), number of tests completed in 2024 and test positivity by sociodemographic and behavioural characteristics, as well as clinical setting and outcomes. ResultsOverall, there were 2,222,028 attendances at SHS in England in 2024 that involved tests for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, syphilis and/or HIV. Most of these attendances involved tests for all four of these STIs. Most people accessing SHS in England tested once (80.1%), and a small minority (1.9%) tested at least quarterly (4+ times). Some groups had a comparably larger proportion of quarterly testers; these included gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (6.7%), London residents (3.6%), online testers (2.5%), people using HIV-PrEP (13%), and people with 5+ partners in the previous 3 months (10.6%). Only 10.5% of GBMSM reporting higher-risk sexual behaviours tested quarterly despite recommendations for quarterly testing in this group. ConclusionsThe majority of those who tested for STIs in England in 2024 only tested once. The minority who tested at least quarterly had a higher proportion of GBMSM, people using HIV-PrEP, London residents and people reporting higher risk behaviours. Quarterly testing often appears to be aligned with current testing recommendations in England; however, we also observed that only a low proportion of behaviourally high-risk GBMSM and HIV-PrEP users are meeting these recommendations. It is important to acknowledge groups with lower or higher testing frequency when developing interventions and updating guidelines related to STI testing. WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPICThe effectiveness of asymptomatic testing for chlamydia and gonorrhoea in gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and the potential impact of the consequent increased antibiotic use on rising antimicrobial resistance and individual harm has recently been questioned. Testing and treatment remains a key pillar of STI prevention and management; despite this, there is limited evidence of STI testing frequency within sexual services (SHS) on a national level. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDSThis analysis shows that the majority of people attending SHSs in England in 2024 tested once, and only a small proportion of behaviourally high-risk people tested frequently. HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICYAwareness of groups that are behaviourally high risk but testing infrequently is important to guide interventions and messaging regarding STI testing. The low levels of frequent testing, even among those who would be recommended quarterly testing under UK guidelines, provides important context for wider discussion around asymptomatic STI screening.